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Week beginning Monday, 4th November

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Week beginning Monday, 4th November

Postby Geoffm » Sun Nov 03, 2019 7:33 pm

Writing this on Sunday the third, people had a good day on the Mynd. Packed out with PGs. Not one hang glider there, though really, it was so busy it would have been tricky for hangies anyway.

Monday: mostly dry, relatively light winds, and changing direction throughout the day. south, SE, NE. So it depends on timing. Light for Corndon. The Wrekin will be ok for a while, as will the Gyrn, or the Malverns at different times in the day. See if it becomes a little clearer tomorrow.

Tuesday: north. Strong, but not too strong. Probably will be OK on Sarn.

Wednesday: south, probably showery much of the day.

Thursday: don't know, am seeing totally different directions.

Friday: probably NNW. Maybe Long Mountain, Sarn, even Llangollen if it is light enough.

Weekend: west, but looks blown out at the moment.
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 4th November

Postby Dave Thomas » Wed Nov 06, 2019 9:37 am

Wednesday, a bit of an odd day with forecasts varying a lot. BBC last night said rain sweeping in from the west, but not shown on current forecasts quite like that. Winds either SE in the east of our area or SW in the west, cloudbase between ground level and well above the hills. Reasonable wind speeds on most forecasts though might be much higher locally as the RASP chart seems to indicate wide variations.

So best bet - Wrekin, Camlo, Clatter or no-where due to rain, sorry I can't be any more precise.

All forecasts still showing Friday as the best opportunity this week.
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 4th November

Postby Dave Thomas » Thu Nov 07, 2019 12:34 pm

Friday now not looking as promising, it might be blown out for PG's but there's a chance Long Mountain might be on - but the forecasts have been changing constantly even in the last few minutes for Friday. Llangollen maybe for HG's if cloudbase is high enough.

Sunday is looking nice Northerly/ NNE
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 4th November

Postby Dave Thomas » Thu Nov 07, 2019 4:08 pm

Looks surprising nice on the Mynd at present, hope someone gets to enjoy.
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 4th November

Postby David Broughton » Thu Nov 07, 2019 8:23 pm

Someone did fly for a time at the Mynd this afternoon (Thurs) but I think it was just the one.

PS. the picture on the west (windsock) camera has been "stuck" for a few days.
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 4th November

Postby Dave Thomas » Fri Nov 08, 2019 7:34 am

Friday, Looks blown out, certainly for most of the day even for HG's. Later on just before dark it might be quiet enough for PG's to launch at Long Mountain or Sarn. The wind is due to back very slightly during the day so might move from N to NNW. If there is any East of north in the direction Sarn will be better and from experience even when Long Mountain is soarable quite often Sarn gets lighter winds, no idea why but that often happens.

People at MGC have already been contacted about the stuck camera, but either haven't fixed it or not bothered to try. Geoff was due to go up last night, so might be fixed now.
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 4th November

Postby Dave Thomas » Fri Nov 08, 2019 8:50 pm

Weather today was far better than all forecasts suggested, especially early on with a pilot flying Sarn from 10:30 and wind speed gradually increasing during the day rather than reducing. Nicely thermic too with quite a few pilots flying.

Sunday at present - could be a rerun of today, but RASP for instance says almost becalmed and easterly in north Wales, others say just like today, wait and see on that I think.
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 4th November

Postby Dave Thomas » Sat Nov 09, 2019 8:32 am

Sunday forecasts are still saying nice weather but wind direction and speeds vary across forecasts massively.
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 4th November

Postby Dave Thomas » Sun Nov 10, 2019 8:52 am

Sunday, It's currently mostly North and quite windy, but is due to change - all forecasts agree it will change but by how much varies massively still. Some say it will go very light and be SE by early afternoon around here, others say just veering a bit to a NNE direction but staying with a reasonable breeze. Lapse rate charts look rather disappointing though, but RASP gives the Snowdonia area the best air and cloudbase height. The North Wales area is where the lightest winds are due to be and we could be within that zone. Elsewhere, Peak district might be a better bet than here, though lapse charts show a 180 degree variation in wind direction with height over as little as 2000ft, so who knows. Winds in South Wales possibly a bit more reliably NE - maybe Blorenge as it takes so many launch directions.
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