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Week Beginning Monday 28th September

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Week Beginning Monday 28th September

Postby Dave Thomas » Sun Sep 27, 2020 11:05 pm

Not much time to check all the forecasts so this is likely to be very basic and vague this week, but Monday should be roughly westerly at some stage but a front coming in from the west may or may not affect the Mynd in the afternoon.
Tuesday much better air, but probably very light winds.
Dave Thomas
 
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Joined: Thu May 02, 2013 12:45 pm

Re: Week Beginning Monday 28th September

Postby Dave Thomas » Tue Sep 29, 2020 7:11 am

Tiesday has forecast light winds around the Mynd area but a bit stronger into Wales. Winds probably SW but tending to veer westerly, but i wouldnt bank on that though finding a site in Wales does look slightly more likely to be soarable, but i hesitate to suggest any specific one of our sites as so possibly wrong. Nice air though with base there 4000ft or so and thermic.
Dave Thomas
 
Posts: 1897
Joined: Thu May 02, 2013 12:45 pm

Re: Week Beginning Monday 28th September

Postby Dave Thomas » Thu Oct 01, 2020 6:33 am

Today, Thursday looks promising with a pretty high cloudbase and post cold frontal thermic air. However during the day the wind is due to back all the way round from west to eventually east tonight. By lunchtime most forecasts indicate the wind will already be WSW or even SW so that is going to affect site choice depending on when you intend to fly. There is due be be a relatively narrow band of really good air stretching between upper mid Wales and down in a SSE direction into Wessex sites, moving slowly in a NE direction as the next front pushes in from the south west so I would say long mynd if you can be there during the morning and hope it stays on the hill long enough, or try one of our SW sites if you can't be there until the afteroon, note however as the next front gets closer this afternoon the upper level winds will have a marked variation in wind direction to the south, increasing the turbulence levels. Also note that certanly early on there are likely to be a few towering Cu to 10,000ft and that will affect both the wind direction and thermals if nearby. I think wind speeds will very quite a lot during the day.
Dave Thomas
 
Posts: 1897
Joined: Thu May 02, 2013 12:45 pm

Re: Week Beginning Monday 28th September

Postby Dave Thomas » Fri Oct 02, 2020 7:45 am

Thursday turned out pretty much as expected with many pilots soaring at the Long Mynd during the morning but halted by the threat of rain from some towering cu nearby around lunchtime. it then went off to the south, but did allow some pilots to thermal to cloudbase at over 4000ft later on as the big clouds reduced in size despite the wind being completely along the hill. By 5pm it was virtually east in direction. Haven't heard if anyone flew our other sites.

Forecasts for Sunday vary wildly, but there is hope.
Dave Thomas
 
Posts: 1897
Joined: Thu May 02, 2013 12:45 pm


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