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Week beginning Monday, 2nd September

PostPosted: Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:03 pm
by Geoffm
Quite a windy week ahead, mostly some component of west, some rain. Quite a few fronts going through over the week. Cooler. Large area of high pressure off to the SW. Rubbish week really.

Monday: breezy, WSW, winds picking up during the day. Mynd if not too much south, otherwise Camlo.

Tuesday: probably SW, pretty breezy, showers later. Looks rubbish really.

Wednesday: W or WNW, but blown out probably.

Thursday: WNW, lighter than Wednesday, but still pretty windy.

Friday: west, windy, showery.

Weekend: winds dropping, NW or WNW, maybe a chance at some point.

Re: Week beginning Monday, 2nd September

PostPosted: Wed Sep 04, 2019 8:53 am
by Dave Thomas
Too windy today around here and rain in the west likely. There might be a chance on Thursday, Friday probably wet but the weekend is looking significantly better at present.

Re: Week beginning Monday, 2nd September

PostPosted: Fri Sep 06, 2019 11:35 am
by Dave Thomas
Saturday is relatively promising, certainly for some decent ridge soaring but may be a bit strong for some PG's, especially on some sites. Some forecasts indicate a bit of rain from time/time and with cloudbase and air quality in North Wales less good than further south. For HG's Llangollen looks good or 100 house, Hay bluff gospel pass launch or Rhigos. For PG's probably Long Mountain most reliable with a wind varying between NW and N.

Sunday much nicer and drier day, but now the wind speed may be a bit light for ridge soaring, but much better air for thermalling. Wind direction - that's something I'm not sure about yet as there could be a kink in direction roughly in our area, anywhere between west and SSW. Of course there will be plenty of lazy wind dummies at the Mynd hoping to fly there rather than have to walk more than a few yards and it might be just the right place. Other good options in our area - Camlo if it's reasonably west (SW slope is quite shallow), Clatter if it's SW. Not Shepherds Tump to my mind as it's not a great place to scratch as slope landing is very limited / difficult due to being so steep and bottom landing is less than ideal due to small fields and cows. Outside of our area - Peak district could be good especially later in the day, or Merthyr in south Wales or Worcestershire Beacon at Malverns (special procedures required to fly there - see their website)

Re: Week beginning Monday, 2nd September

PostPosted: Sat Sep 07, 2019 7:14 am
by Dave Thomas
Today, though the wind is not yet anywhere near this direction, it is due to veer considerably around to the North during the day. The forecast I'd say has improved more and no longer rain forecast unless very unlucky. Cloudbase in our area not massively high at 3000ft and slightly above but plenty good enough for thermalling and XC though large cloud spreadout is likely making joining the dots with cross country quite hard. Rasp indicated a lighter wind speed around Cheshire basin and possibly in the afternoon going NNE rather than NNW to N elsewhere, also sea breeze coming in from Cardigan bay. Depending on how quickly the wind direction changes, any of our NW sites might be ok for a while, ideally a site that can take a variety of directions and cope with potentially top end wind speeds for PG. At this moment it looks a far better day for ridge soaring than tomorrow, where wind speeds are currently forecast to be quite light, but on a positive note for most people the Mynd may be the right place to go on Sunday.

Re: Week beginning Monday, 2nd September

PostPosted: Sat Sep 07, 2019 9:46 am
by Graeme Baird
The webcam seems to be stuck. It has been showing 19 knots constantly since Friday morning.

Re: Week beginning Monday, 2nd September

PostPosted: Sat Sep 07, 2019 3:35 pm
by Geoffm
Thanks for letting me know Graeme, much appreciated - somewhat oddly, no-one else has mentioned it. It's always far, far better to let me know if there is an issue. I'm away at the moment, so can't sort it out myself. I've just left a message for the other half of the IT team at the MGC to have a look at it. In the meantime, I'll put a message on both web sites to point out that it's not working.

Re: Week beginning Monday, 2nd September

PostPosted: Sat Sep 07, 2019 9:02 pm
by Geoffm
Fixed now. For some reason I fail to understand, one of the cables had been disconnected. Fuck knows how, why or by who (and I don't want any pedants saying it should be 'whom', not 'who').

Again, Graeme, thanks for letting me know. Problems are almost always easily and quickly fixed. I do usually check the cams daily, but occasionally I don't, when I have more exciting things to do.

Re: Week beginning Monday, 2nd September

PostPosted: Sun Sep 08, 2019 7:24 am
by Dave Thomas
Saturday as expected was flyable and soarable with some thermals at many of our sites as well as elsewhere in the UK.

Sunday, has RASP giving a great XC star rating, but I think for most it's unlikely to turn out that way. The reasons I say that is because the wind speeds at launch may be too low for many people to fly and get a climb to cloudbase and that's not expected to be particularly high, plus there's due to be a lot of cloud cover in many areas. In light winds the normal approach would be to go somewhere really high, but that's not going to give a huge headroom with cloudbase between 3 and 4K. So for our area I'm going to stick with yesterdays suggestion that the Mynd may be the best place around here. Winds are due to be broadly westerly though very light and it's an easy place to launch and slope land if you can't stay up. Not sure if it will be strong enough, but the coastal areas are going to get a decent sea breeze, so that may be an alternative ridge soaring option.

Out of area options - Malverns where you can launch both sides if you can find a thermal, Talybont in Brecon Beacons to get the sunny south face, Peak District. Devils Dyke at Brighton where the air is best and wind strongest.