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Week beginning Monday 17th June

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Week beginning Monday 17th June

Postby Dave Thomas » Mon Jun 17, 2019 8:06 am

Monday - do something else too much rain risk around here.
Tuesday, there's a chance, but very low winds around here, cunims down south, so Peak district looks the best bet with a light SW or WSW wind.
Wednesday onwards - starting to become more reasonable with some prospects, forecasts vary a lot so won't try to suggest anything particular yet.
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Re: Week beginning Monday 17th June

Postby Dave Thomas » Mon Jun 17, 2019 8:45 am

Today, maybe over pessimistic - probably correct around here, but it's drier in north Wales and to the south east of our area, and lighter winds down there. Peaks probably too windy though probably dry.
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Re: Week beginning Monday 17th June

Postby Dave Thomas » Mon Jun 17, 2019 7:48 pm

Looked a bit windy today. Tomorrow is windless and due to rain around here by lunchtime or early afternoon. Elsewhere Peak district just might be thermic but light winds, and south East England very light winds and possibly thunderstorms.
More likely to be ridge soarable later in the week at least.
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Re: Week beginning Monday 17th June

Postby Dave Thomas » Wed Jun 19, 2019 10:30 am

Just in time for the BOS comp to end, the weather is gradually going to improve. Today Wednesday the forecasts indicate it will be flyable later this afternoon and roughly westerly - the clear air may not reach the Mynd but the Welsh sites might be ok. It looks rubbish at present, but maybe in 4 hours time ok.
Thursday Westerly and Myndable, and Friday too though it might be too light to ridge soar.
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Re: Week beginning Monday 17th June

Postby Dave Thomas » Thu Jun 20, 2019 6:47 am

Thursday looks a pretty well perfect Long Mynd day for hang gliders, both for ridge soaring and going XC around the north side of Birmingham airspace. Forecasts all generally agree it will be blown out for PG's to launch though. Wind direction WSW to W with cloudbase around 4500ft. I think there might be a few PG's who do try to fly, it al depends on local conditions and wave affects which might reduce speeds enough in parts, either here or any other sites.

Friday forecasts differ a bit regarding wind speed, some showing it ideal at the Mynd, but others saying rather too light to ridge soar. Thermic, but not quite as regionally good as Friday or as high cloudbase.


Saturday light South Easterly with best air in Wales.
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Re: Week beginning Monday 17th June

Postby David Broughton » Thu Jun 20, 2019 10:39 am

I thought it was flyable at the Mynd - WSW 13 kts. BUT THE WIND METER IS STUCK!!!!!!!
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Re: Week beginning Monday 17th June

Postby Dave Thomas » Thu Jun 20, 2019 11:36 am

Mr B, The wind meter was dead for an hour and half this morning, but pressure was working, I don't know how/who fixed it. But don't worry you haven't missed anything, it's been raining and too windy for you anyway. Sky looks good further west but even windier.
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Re: Week beginning Monday 17th June

Postby Dave Thomas » Fri Jun 21, 2019 6:39 am

Friday, the wind is due to very gradually veer from the current SW direction, and by lunchtime be west at least. However, forecasts vary on how much wind there is due to be, from anywhere between quite breezy to very light and not ridge soarable. Some forecasts say it will increase in the afternoon, others say reduce. By the evening the wind is due to be NW direction or thereabouts and continue veering around to the east as the high pressure builds. Cloudbase, generally not particularly high, maybe 4500 around here at best, but the amount of cloud varies greatly. Oddly the lapse rate charts don't seem to indicate a lot of spreadout, yet forecasts suggest large areas with very heavy cloud and poor thermal strengths and even low cloud. Generally better air further west into Wales and a strong sea breeze coming up the river Severn and down the Cheshire basin.
Sites, I'm sure the Long Mynd will be the busiest location but mainly for ease of access and laziness. Other options LLandinam, Camlo, Shepherds Tump, Lawley, Wrekin for our sites. Other clubs sites - Cowlod, Cemmaes, Elan Valley, Snowdonia, Malverns.

Saturday, a slighlty stronger wind from the SSE or SE direction and good in Wales again, with broadly similar conditions. Site choice is the problem, Wrekin SE is obvious and the best for ridge soaring but not ideal for XC due to the proximity behind of MATZ and now some very limiting airspace restrictions towards Cheshire/N Wales. Corndon might be ok, not really great for soaring but useable for thermalling and leaving.
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Re: Week beginning Monday 17th June

Postby Dave Thomas » Sat Jun 22, 2019 7:21 am

Friday turned out quite windy, but plenty went XC from many sites including the Mynd as well as a lot of ridge soaring.

Saturday by the look of it is due to be a better day in terms of the air quality, but the direction very difficult as it might be too windy for The Wrekin. Direction looks pretty well set for SE. Around here there's Corndon or Gyrn Moelfre as if it's a proper SE, Camlo would be in the lee of the main west facing part of the hill, especially if it is quite windy.

Sunday looks like being either windy, or light winds and raining so not hopeful around here.
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Re: Week beginning Monday 17th June

Postby Dave Thomas » Sat Jun 22, 2019 6:06 pm

Sunday has improved, easterly and not likely to rain until mid afternoon or later. Corndon likely to be less chance of cunims than the malverns as the bad weather is building from the SE so maybe worth trying there early-ish. Also Corndon is often better than the malverns if windy. Pandy might be ok too - or Penyclodiau east maybe best of all.
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Re: Week beginning Monday 17th June

Postby Dave Thomas » Sun Jun 23, 2019 10:02 am

Actually the rain is coming in from South Wales, so Pandy won't be an option. It's looking pretty windy already so maybe not as hopeful of it being flyable now.
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