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Week beginning Monday, 15th October

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Week beginning Monday, 15th October

Postby Geoffm » Sun Oct 14, 2018 7:01 pm

Well, no more stormy weather this week at least. And, mostly, much less rain. Flying not brilliant, though, as you would expect at this time of year (though possibly it was flyable at Corndon today, Sunday - it cleared out nicely once the front went through).

Monday: still poor weather today, as another front briefly goes through. NE, probably breezy, probably rainy. If it's not quite as bad as it currently is forecast, maybe Corndon would be worth a try, though I'm not very optimistic.

Tuesday: a little better, less chance of rain, and the wind switches to SW. Clatter, but winds are increasing during the day, so may be too windy for PGs at least.

Wednesday: some chance of rain, but not definite. Light winds, vaguely westerly, going NW. If it's too light, the Peaks might be a better bet.

Thursday: nice sunny day, again light winds, probably NE, so Corndon locally.

Friday: again a reasonably nice day, SW or WSW, so Clatter or Camlo. A chance it might be on at the Mynd.

Weekend: winds picking up, westerly or SW.
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 15th October

Postby Dave Thomas » Tue Oct 16, 2018 6:03 am

Tuesday, as Geoff said, Clatter today. The winds are switching around a bit but this afternoon looks SW. Cloudbase well above the hills and no rain. Havent been this autumn, but with the recent rain, take care not to churn the farmers field up at the end of the track as it usually gets slippery.
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 15th October

Postby Geoffm » Wed Oct 17, 2018 9:44 am

Wednesday is starting off west, but rapidly going N/NNW. Should be flyable somewhere. Maybe Sarn. Llangollen possibly, if not too windy there - the wind picks up slowly throughout the day. If it is too windy at Llangollen, Long Mountain should be ok.
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 15th October

Postby Geoffm » Wed Oct 17, 2018 8:52 pm

It was nicely flyable today at Llangollen for a few hours. Don't know about Sarn.

Thursday is lightish E/ENE. The direction is fine for Corndon, but probably too light. Looks light in the Peaks too. The Malverns would be a good choice.

Very light on Friday too, SSW/SW.
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 15th October

Postby Dave Thomas » Thu Oct 18, 2018 9:57 am

Agree entirely with Geoffs comments from last night, forecasts remaining similar overnight. It's coming more Easterly during the day and the weather gauges are already showing that trend but Corndon likely to be a bit scratchy and PenyC is in the area with very little wind but nicer air. Malverns or Pandy look like good choices this afternoon as the wind comes on the hill better.
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 15th October

Postby Geoffm » Thu Oct 18, 2018 6:46 pm

I don't know what people did today, but certainly at the Mynd, it looked like a great sky, lovely cumulus. A bit late in the year for XC, but it looked the part!

Friday is starting off SSW or SW, and therefore Clatter. However, in the afternoon it's going more westerly, and could be on the Mynd eventually, via Camlo. Depends how early it goes west - the days are getting much shorter.

Saturday looks like Clatter/Camlo.

Sunday is westerly, but probably too strong for PGs, but could be ok for hangies.
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 15th October

Postby Dave Thomas » Fri Oct 19, 2018 8:12 am

On Thursday, lots flew at the Malverns but I don't think it was ridge soarable as too far off to the NE direction and not much in the way of decent thermals either. People were also at Pandy but don't know what happened there. Today is due to be slightly less windy than yesterday, but the Mynd is usually better for scratching about in light winds than the Malverns and it might come on in time to fly. Saturday probably has a bit more wind but more cloud and might as Geoff said not be on at the Mynd. Sunday is looking Mynd-ish but depends on speed and some forecasts a bit of rain.

With this dry spell and ground good, it's worth getting out if you can, ground handling and scratching about is very, very useful practice and experience for the summer anyway.
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 15th October

Postby Dave Thomas » Sat Oct 20, 2018 8:12 am

Saturday and Sunday both have rather unusual wind maps around our area, with the wind varying both in direction and speed over quite short distances, so I'm not sure where to suggest, though both days offer potential for some ridge soaring. Due to be a bit windier into North Wales. The wind might be anywhere between SSW and even WNW, but most likely in most places SW. Camlo offers the greatest variation in slopes suitable for those directions. Sunday has a band of fairly strong winds running north south right across our area, but that may change and the winds either side are quite light but I think this is all due to the forecast front passing through which so depends on just where and when.

Not that it's much help for most, but Monday looks like being a nice NW post frontal weak thermic soaring day.
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 15th October

Postby Dave Thomas » Sun Oct 21, 2018 8:24 am

Sunday, as it looked to be yesterday still has bands of very strong winds in our area and also a poor lapse rate chart as the front passes through today. Looking at satellite images I think the front is just out to sea in north Wales so should be coming our way during the day which is likely to spoil any chance of a decent flying spot. The pre-frontal clouds are lined up looking very wave induced which will be where the bands of strong winds are being forecast. It's only a weak front and it may fade away though it's not forecast to do so.
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Re: Week beginning Monday, 15th October

Postby Geoffm » Sun Oct 21, 2018 3:04 pm

Lots of wave around, though I don't know if anyone contacted it. Not spoken to the sailplanes yet. One PG flew earlier; and just two hang gliders, as far as I know. Still west at the time of writing this, though forecast to go north later.
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